Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 0.090999 0.101189 0.111659 0.123194 0.135519 0.148268 0.162427
2025-01-12 0.074072 0.089347 0.105882 0.124984 0.146321 0.169300 0.195799
2025-01-19 0.061334 0.079685 0.100490 0.125521 0.154515 0.186757 0.225029
2025-01-26 0.056587 0.078058 0.103309 0.134644 0.171930 0.214358 0.265756
2025-02-02 0.049453 0.072489 0.100588 0.136511 0.180353 0.231308 0.294179
2025-02-09 0.044181 0.068493 0.099144 0.139372 0.189549 0.248914 0.323284
2025-02-16 0.038525 0.063294 0.095588 0.139088 0.194501 0.261185 0.345922
2025-02-23 0.036659 0.062946 0.098091 0.146340 0.208739 0.284736 0.382275
2025-03-02 0.034533 0.061959 0.099543 0.152093 0.221036 0.305952 0.415947
2025-03-09 0.029968 0.056946 0.095108 0.149709 0.222623 0.313670 0.432932
2025-03-16 0.025577 0.051707 0.089933 0.145938 0.222084 0.318476 0.446138
2025-03-23 0.024203 0.051023 0.091145 0.150847 0.232957 0.337807 0.477635
2025-03-30 0.022339 0.049510 0.091239 0.154451 0.242539 0.356128 0.508790
2025-04-06 0.020274 0.047470 0.090442 0.156778 0.250494 0.372569 0.537942
2025-04-13 0.018043 0.044884 0.088616 0.157492 0.256195 0.386113 0.563543
2025-04-20 0.018188 0.046583 0.093530 0.168163 0.275825 0.418214 0.613396
2025-04-27 0.016558 0.044799 0.092771 0.170349 0.283601 0.434672 0.643127
2025-05-04 0.015308 0.043586 0.092824 0.173682 0.292976 0.453311 0.675826
2025-05-11 0.013529 0.041086 0.090566 0.173353 0.297054 0.464811 0.699218
2025-05-18 0.013379 0.041930 0.093957 0.181775 0.313777 0.493538 0.745510
2025-05-25 0.012954 0.042129 0.096216 0.188444 0.328018 0.518994 0.787645
2025-06-01 0.011160 0.039078 0.092605 0.185681 0.328375 0.525374 0.804363
2025-06-08 0.009357 0.035690 0.088133 0.181310 0.326174 0.528103 0.816123